Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 11.836828 13.311880 14.979470 17.021216 19.476984 22.365949 26.067636
2025-03-30 9.576191 11.338038 13.485355 16.346406 20.140317 25.124128 32.393499
2025-04-06 8.180956 9.993764 12.308518 15.565287 20.177073 26.727619 37.262933
2025-04-13 7.237930 9.051684 11.451115 14.973719 20.233088 28.208599 42.187872
2025-04-20 7.180470 9.242230 12.092525 16.510644 23.584063 35.319574 58.630188
2025-04-27 6.835143 8.983689 12.051704 17.006349 25.382594 40.334590 73.432747
2025-05-04 6.270453 8.352453 11.388200 16.424643 25.256946 41.845656 81.591602
2025-05-11 6.024426 8.158530 11.352320 16.835004 26.917118 47.184133 101.451516
2025-05-18 5.669795 7.769902 10.972524 16.610010 27.352696 50.113860 116.850125
2025-05-25 5.363359 7.429687 10.635537 16.411471 27.794300 53.173430 134.782228
2025-06-01 5.118845 7.166402 10.397572 16.355954 28.506636 57.079513 158.765807
2025-06-08 4.831836 6.816701 9.987981 15.936900 28.382603 58.868831 176.585947
2025-06-15 4.622404 6.588664 9.783084 15.916764 29.211236 63.718822 214.261331
2025-06-22 4.331849 6.212806 9.299594 15.311499 28.630631 64.496157 234.273874
2025-06-29 4.049930 5.835224 8.787117 14.597987 27.687279 63.946337 247.184587
2025-07-06 3.818694 5.529117 8.380056 14.057088 27.077749 64.291638 266.967505
2025-07-13 3.897230 5.740702 8.901856 15.460881 31.530141 83.244372 468.791898
2025-07-20 3.831051 5.701963 8.965927 15.912604 33.659991 95.490766 682.936046
2025-07-27 3.640822 5.439497 8.597456 15.382460 32.993655 96.272697 762.765422
2025-08-03 3.578073 5.394945 8.634252 15.756518 34.981603 109.696174 1160.763604
2025-08-10 3.449294 5.227667 8.426008 15.551471 35.227217 115.371948 1487.113804
2025-08-17 3.331739 5.074772 8.236112 15.370448 35.518390 121.588113 1958.229141
2025-08-24 3.236258 4.956818 8.106955 15.319814 36.217789 130.605073 2830.150340